What: Men’s basketball (6-0) vs. No. 24 Cincinnati (6-0)
Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, N.Y., ASN (TV)
When: Saturday, Nov. 28 at 2:30 p.m.
Two undefeated teams clash in the championship game of the Barclays Center Classic on Saturday, when GW takes on No. 24 Cincinnati. Both teams were favorites in their games Friday, though neither got through as cleanly as they would have liked.
The Colonials have already shown that they can defeat a ranked opponent by beating then-No. 6 Virginia earlier this season, and another win against a Top 25 team would certainly make some waves, but the Bearcats bring many of the factors – size, balance, rebounding and experience – that the Colonials have used to stay perfect through six games.
Here’s what to expect from the game:
The case for the Colonials: On paper, the Bearcats are doing everything well, but they have yet to be tested. Nebraska was the best team Cincinnati has faced so far in the season, and the Huskers gave them all they could handle Friday night. Tennessee and Virginia are both better teams than Cincinnati has played all season, so the Colonials could expose some yet-unseen weaknesses.
Cincinnati is also only shooting 68.3 percent from the foul line. Free throw shooting has gone from a weakness to a strength this season for GW, and if this game goes down to the wire, that could be a deciding factor.
The Colonials have scored 27.6 percent of their points this season from the charity stripe, compared with 22.4 percent for the Bearcats.
The case for the Bearcats: The Bearcats have a lot of pretty stats going for them: 19.6 assists per game, 6.4 blocks per game, 49 percent shooting and a +38.6 scoring margin over opponents this season. Cincinnati is averaging 89.8 points per game and allowing just 53. They’re also incredibly deep and playing on a few hours more rest than the Colonials.
Cincinnati is also forcing 20.2 turnovers per game while committing only 11.8 themselves, assisted by 13.0 steals per game. Turnovers allowed Tennessee to make some runs against GW Friday night, so the Colonials will have to be extra careful with the ball.
Troy Caupain is the team’s leader and though he’s averaging just 8.2 points per game, he impacts it in many ways with 4.8 assists per game and 10 steals so far on the season. Patricio Garino will likely take him on defense and try to neutralize Cincinnati’s ability to go inside out.
Inside, 6-foot-10 forward Octavius Ellis will be the biggest challenge. Ellis is averaging 9.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game and scoops up 16.3 percent of available offensive rebounds, 39th-best in the nation, according to Ken Pomeroy’s analysis.
Bottom line: In Cincinnati, GW finds itself in another huge test relatively early in the season. Expect a great game, as both teams do many things well and the Colonials have a good history of thrillers in these kinds of tournaments. The matchup, though, doesn’t give the Colonials a clear weakness to try to exploit in the Bearcats. GW will bring a defensive intensity that Cincinnati has not seen yet, but look for the Colonials’ shooting percentage to tell the story in this one.